What is a cohort study?
A cohort study follows a defined group over time. People are enrolled and their exposures recorded at baseline, then outcomes are observed. Comparing outcome rates between exposed and unexposed participants gives incidence and relative risk. Data may be collected going forward or taken from past records.
STROBE describes a cohort study as one in which investigators record participants and their exposures at baseline, follow them for a period, and then assess who develops the outcome. According to Setia, nobody has the outcome at the start and participants are selected on exposure status. The comparison is between exposed and unexposed people or between exposure levels, and several outcomes can be examined in one cohort (STROBE).
In a closed cohort, which starts with a fixed number of participants, STROBE says both cumulative incidence (risk) and incidence rates can be estimated; comparing exposed with unexposed groups then yields a risk ratio or a rate ratio. The same document notes that “relative risk” can stand for either. Setia points out that exposure is measured before the outcome, so time order is clear.
A cohort is prospective when data are collected going forward and retrospective when they come from existing records; Setia adds that mixed designs exist. Setia calls prospective cohorts time-consuming and costly, and retrospective cohorts quick and relatively inexpensive but warns that their measurements may not be very accurate or what the study needs; Euser and colleagues add that these measurements were often made for another purpose, such as patient care. Euser and colleagues consider cohorts suited to rare exposures, whereas Setia says they may be inefficient for rare outcomes. Confounding and selection bias (Euser and colleagues) and losses to follow-up (Setia) can distort results.
Example
In a hypothetical study, adults who exercise regularly and adults who do not, all free of heart disease at the start, are followed for years. The proportion developing heart disease is calculated in each group, and dividing the two proportions gives the relative risk.
A point to watch
According to the STROBE explanatory paper, loss to follow-up can undermine a study’s validity when it occurs selectively among exposed individuals or among people at high risk of the disease. The paper therefore advises reporting how many participants were lost, why, and how the loss was handled.
Related terms
Guides and tools
Sources
- Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE): Explanation and Elaboration — PLOS Medicine, 2007
- Methodology Series Module 1: Cohort Studies — Indian Journal of Dermatology, 2016
- Cohort studies: prospective versus retrospective — Nephron Clinical Practice, 2009
- MeSH: Cohort Studies — U.S. National Library of Medicine, 2021